It’s time once again for the start of one of the most exciting title races in the world of football: The Premier League.
Last year’s season provided plenty of notable results with many big clubs struggling. Chelsea proved that money can’t always buy talent, while Tottenham showed how important it is to not drop easy points.
I made predictions last year for the top six and the bottom three, which for the most part were sadly wrong.
Manchester City won the title with Arsenal failing to keep their point lead, and Liverpool, despite reviving from their horror of a start, weren’t able to recover enough and finished outside the Champions League allowing Newcastle to sneak in.
Chelsea didn’t even manage to finish in the top half of the table, ending their season in 12th, and Tottenham was unable to qualify for any European competition.
For the bottom half of the predictions, all three of the newly promoted teams last season survived to a second consecutive season in the Premiership while Leicester City, a staple of the league and champions in 2015 and 2016, went down in the drama of the last day.
This year will most likely provide just as much excitement as the last, with many big-name transfers occurring over the summer, like Declan Rice (West Ham to Arsenal), Kai Havertz (Chelsea to Arsenal), Mason Mount (Chelsea to Manchester United), and Josko Gvardiol (RB Leipzig to Manchester City).
Here are my predictions for the 2023-2024 Premier League season, along with some explanation below:
Top Six:
- Arsenal
- Manchester City
- Tottenham
- Brighton
- Liverpool
- Manchester United
Relegation:
- Everton
- Burnley
- Luton Town
Arsenal
Arsenal look primed to overcome the disappointment of last season and end this season with the title.
Even though they faltered and dropped points in several games they shouldn’t have in the last half of the season, they proved just how good they could be.
They have started this season strong with three wins but tied Fulham in a game they were predicted to win.
They strengthened their already deep squad with notable players such as Jurrien Timber, though he will be out due to an ACL tear for a couple months.
Arsenal appears to be the best team to end City’s title dominance and look poised for the long awaited finish at the number one spot.
Tottenham Hotspur
The Spurs did not have the best campaign last season, and it seemed improbable that they could improve this season with the loss of club legend and top goal scorer Harry Kane to Bayern Munich over the summer. Yet after four games, they currently sit at second in the table.
They tied Brentford in their first game, and even though they didn’t have their best match, they got a 2-0 result against top six contender Manchester United.
They have looked good under new coach Ange Postecoglou, and while it should be expected they drop points throughout the remainder of the season, their form at the moment indicates a Champions League finish in their future.
Brighton
The placement of Brighton may be surprising, but over the past two seasons they’ve had consistent top-six finishes.
They have many excellent players, and even the loss of two midfielders — Alexis Mac Allister to Liverpool and Moises Caicedo to Chelsea — has not dampened their start-of-season form.
They defeated Newcastle, who finished last season in a Champions League spot, and have lost only once, albeit to West Ham, but they bounced back from that immediately.
It will be hard to write off Brighton as they have shown that they have the substance to finish in the top six. I think they can do even better this year, and finish in a Champions League spot.
Everton
It looks like Everton’s luck will finally run out this season.
After narrowly avoiding relegation on the last day by securing victory against Bournemouth, they have not done anything to change the team management.
For a club of their history and pedigree it seems improbable for them to not be in the Premiership, but based on their results so far this season it is likely going to be a hard pill they will have to swallow.
Otto Wild • Sep 21, 2023 at 7:25 am
Love your analysis!
(Bayern Munich, with Harry Kane, will go far in Champions League.)